How They Do It– 'Trump's pullout declaration led Assad to use chemical weapons against his own people'

With Russia behind him and the US in retreat, the Syrian leader knows no one will take a stand against his actions, no matter how unconventional — and deadly — they may be

Avi Issacharoff, Times of Israel

An announcement Sunday by the Jaish al-Islam organization, which is directing the rebel campaign in the area of Eastern Ghouta and the town of Douma, explains why the army of Syrian President Bashar Assad again is reported to have directed chemical weapons against the country’s citizens.

According to reports in Arab media, Jaish al-Islam announced that it was ready to hold negotiations with the Syrian regime on an additional ceasefire. The situation for the rebels in Douma, near the capital Damascus, was dire even before the alleged chemical weapons attack on Saturday, but one can guess that the terrible photographs of victims and the enormous number of injured as a result of the mysterious gas got the message across: The rebels understand they cannot survive more fighting against the Syrian army.

On the other hand, the suspected chemical attack raises the question: Why was it so urgent for Assad and his army to utilize chemical weapons on a front where victory is imminent and all but assured? For that, there are a number of answers.

Firstly, because Assad can. The Syrian president understands that in light of the recent announcement by US President Donald Trump that America intends to pull its forces out of Syria soon, there is no one standing in his way.

The Russians are giving full military and diplomatic support to Assad, the Iranians and the Lebanese terror group Hezbollah are on his side anyway, and there is no state body that can act as a counterweight to Moscow or even Tehran in the contest for the future of Syria. Assad knows that he is free to slaughter, murder, bomb, and lay waste to every opposition enclave, large or small. Even if he needs to use chemical weapons again.

It is likely the Syrian leader will pay the price in the form of a few US Tomahawk missiles hitting one of the regime military bases, but it is abundantly clear the Americans won’t go further than that. The UN Security Council won’t take action as long as the Russians are backing Assad, and the “international community” is a phrase that has been rendered meaningless in the Middle East (aside from in connection with Israel).

So much has been reported and said in the Western media about the events in the Gaza Strip and on the nine Palestinians who were shot dead by the Israel Defense Forces on Friday. There was even a demonstration by a few thousand people in London on Saturday against Israel against the events in Gaza. Will those same thousands take to the streets and will those same media outlets also report on the criminal chemical attack that reportedly killed anywhere from 41 to 150 people?

Assad is violating the agreement to remove unconventional weapons from Syria that was reached between previous US president Barack Obama, Russia and Damascus after a large-scale chemical attack in 2013. But who cares?

Last week, the Haaretz newspaper reported that the Syrian army deployed forces in areas where it is prohibited to operate, such as the Golan Heights region. Why? Again, because he can and there is no one to stop him.

Moreover, the current use of chemical weapons can be expected to shorten the fighting — not only in the Douma region or Eastern Ghouta. It will also be a significant factor in decision-making by the rebels in the area of Idlib and the Golan Heights.

Already, it is clear that the next steps by the Syrian army will be directed at these two regions in an push to entirely cleanse Syria of rebels. The images of those women and children frothing from their mouths sends a message to rebels everywhere: This will be your fate if you decide to fight the regime.